Shwmae bawb. Here’s me wading in in my first post. Don’t wanna be forward but…
I can’t say much about Irish, although it does surprise some people that there are quite a lot more Welsh speakers than Irish speakers. So, this comes down to historical events and attitudes towards our languages.
Erm. This could be a long post (but it’s a complicated subject) so I’ll try to look at the situation of Welsh nowadays, firstly. Yeah, we have around half a million speakers but Avanutria’s point about judging who can actually speak a language is a good one. In the 2001 Census there were questions about people’s ability to speak, read and write Welsh and not all who had one skill could claim all three.
For example, there are more people who can speak the language than feel comfortable writing it (mind you, the same goes for many English speakers’ written skills, and no doubt for other languages as well) so, there can be problems of definition
Be that as it may, we can say that there are around half a million people who claim they can speak Welsh. Numbers did go up since the 1991 census. However, that is not the whole story. Whilst it’s good that there seem to be higher numbers of speakers, the number of geographical communities with high percentages of Welsh speakers went down. So, the number of places in which one can walk into a shop or pub and ask for a loaf of bread of a pint of milk (or a loaf of milk and a pint of bread, whatever…) is decreasing.
This has got serious implications for the viability of Welsh as a medium of day-to-day communication. These are the sorts of places where it is natural and normal to speak Welsh, and there are fewer and fewer of them. These areas are in primarily in parts of North and West Wales, by the way. They have been known as Y Fro Gymraeg – the Welsh area, basically - but some people think that this term is losing relevance as it has shrunk so much.
So, there are more speakers of Welsh in Wales than of Icelandic in Iceland but Welsh is the minority language. We face a battle to make Welsh relevant and normal for people. English is so powerful, globalisation is so prevalent, and Welsh is reaping a bitter harvest after centuries of neglect at best, and attempts to extirpate it at worst.
So there have been rising numbers of kids educated through the medium of Welsh in areas which have historically lost Welsh as the main community language – places like the South Wales valleys – but often those kids don’t use the language outside school hours, and forget it or ignore it after leaving school, or just don’t get the chance to use much of it. Those who learn the language as adults can often find few opportunities to use it outside class too. Then in traditional Welsh speaking areas there are smaller percentages of kids speaking Welsh than in the past, and We’sh can be seen as old-fashioned and boring… Don’t think there’s been much Welsh on MTV, for example.
It’s great that there are more Welsh speakers in absolute terms, but unless we can make Welsh a normal, relevant medium of conversation for more people, many of us believe that it will not survive as a community language. So, there are more Welsh speakers in Cardiff than in Caernarfon in north west wales, but the percentage is much higher in Caernarfon and you if walk into a pub there, it’s Welsh you’ll hear in the main.
This is one of the main things that makes people want to speak a language; it’s what makes it relevant to their everyday lives. So it’s partly a percentage game, as well as a numbers game. We need to increase both. Ain’t easy….
These problems face minority languages. Irish too, of course. It’s a hard life, aye.

Still, nil desperandum. There are people trying to save the language, and not all of 'em are as gloomy as me
